The Threshold Report
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Can AI do this yet?

32 claims we are watching.

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Text

Draft a 20-page report from a folder of mixed documents without factual drift

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Text

Translate a dense legal contract into plain English reliably enough to act on

No
Text

Hold a two-hour working session without losing earlier context

Audio

Interpret a live phone call between two languages naturally enough to do business

Samsung Live TranslateGoogle Pixel Live TranslateMicrosoft TranslatorChatGPT VoiceGoogle Translate Live TranslateGemini 3.5 Live TranslateGoogle Pixel Voice TranslateGemini 3.8 LivePixel Voice Translate
Audio

Transcribe a noisy six-person meeting with correct speaker labels

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Audio

Dub a video into five languages in the speaker's own voice, broadcast quality

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ElevenLabs Dubbing StudioHeyGen Video TranslateRask AIDeepdubYouTube Auto DubbingGemini 3.5 Live Translate
Video

Produce a 60-second ad with consistent characters from a one-page brief

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RunwayGoogle VeoOpenAI SoraKling AILuma Dream MachineAdobe FireflyGoogle Veo 3.1Google VidsGoogle Veo 3.1 / FlowGemini Omni 1.1 Flash
Video

Edit raw footage into a rough cut from natural-language notes

Video

Physics that survives slow motion: hands, liquids, collisions

Video

A coherent ten-minute story with the same cast throughout

Image

Produce a brand-consistent product photo set you could not tell from a studio shoot

Image

Edit one person out of a group photo with no visible artifacts on close inspection

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Adobe Photoshop Generative FillGoogle Photos Magic EditorCanva Magic EraserCleanup.picturesChatGPT ImagesGoogle Photos Magic EraserGoogle Pics
Image

Generate a technical diagram or map with accurate, correctly spelled labels throughout

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Lucidchart AIMiro AINapkin AIMermaid ChartNano Banana ProChatGPT ImagesImagen 4Gemini 3 Pro Image
Image

Follow a ten-item layout spec (positions, colors, exact text) in a single generation

Agents

Operate an unfamiliar web app correctly from a written procedure

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Robots

A humanoid robot completes a useful warehouse or factory shift under normal supervision

Robots

A non-humanoid robot handles varied household chores in an ordinary home

No
Robots

A robot learns a new manipulation task from a short natural-language instruction or video

Google Gemini RoboticsPhysical Intelligence π0NVIDIA Isaac GR00T N1OpenVLAGoogle Gemini Robotics 1.5Dyna-2Gemini Robotics 2Gemini Robotics 1.5NVIDIA GR00T N1.5Skild AI S1
Robots

Autonomous delivery or drone robots operate commercially in multiple cities without special demos

Science

An AI-designed drug passes a Phase 3 trial

No
Science

A brain-computer interface restores lost physical functionality

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Science

An AI-discovered material ships in a mass-market product

No
Science

A regulator clears an AI-powered prosthetic that restores natural physical autonomy

No
Compute & Infra

A major new AI data-center campus comes online with dedicated power secured

Compute & Infra

A credible orbital or otherwise unconventional data-center project moves beyond concept into construction or launch

Six flips since the last issue.